So my solar panels have been on the house for a year (
summarized here). Because there are very large seasonal changes in both power production and usage, the one year anniversary is a nice time to summarize the performance.
Seasonal Changes:
Obviously, there are large seasonal changes. In the summer, the days are much longer and the Sun is higher in the sky so the panels produce much more energy in the summer than in the winter. It's almost a factor of two difference - ~15 kWh/day in the Summer, ~8 kWh/day in the winter.
Of course, my consumption varies with the season as well. In the late summer it is very hot here and the air conditioning can often use more energy than the panels can produce, even on their best days. In the Winter, there is some additional power associated with running the fan on the central heat.
Basically, I consumed slightly more than I produced in the peak hot months (Aug./Sept.), was even during the winter, and produced more than I used during the other months (especially May/June when days are long but I don't need to run air conditioning yet).
Daily Changes:
Clouds
There were remarkable day-to-day changes. Obviously clouds are a big culprit. Generally, they are decreasing power but they can also scatter additional sunlight from other angles onto the solar panels. The highest instantaneous power the panels ever produced was when cirrus clouds had just cleared, allowing direct sunlight, but also scattering additional light onto the panels. One thing to note is that the energy produced only went below 3 kWh in five days out of the whole year. This is about how much my house needs per day if I don't run the A/C and I'm being very frugal about everything else.
Smog/Humidity
As mentioned before, humidity and smog have a fairly large (~5-10% effect) on the amount of power produced. On clear, windy days the power can be significantly higher. Notice that very high energy point on April 17th. That was a day with high winds that cleared out humidity and smog the whole day.
Temperature
The panels are actually less efficient when they warm up. I notice this effect as well. It's small, of order 5% day-to-day. That peak day in April where the panels produced the most energy? Yes, it was windy, but it was also not too hot.
Annual Total:
So, I designed this system to produce more power than I consume throughout the year. I was actually hoping for a little surplus because I will want a plug-in car in the near future. [There is a whole side story here that the city will not approve permits for systems which produce more than the house consumes because they're required by the state to pay for that excess power. They almost didn't approve the permit for my system because they claimed that it would produce 60% more than I consumed. I argued that the system was the right size, if slightly too big. They were being too optimistic about how much power the panels would produce (I think they were doing this on purpose) and they were using energy usage from the previous owners, who weren't in the house all summer! Anyway, I argued and they finally approved the permit. Now back to our regularly scheduled blog.] So, how did it do? After exactly 1 year, here are the stats:
Energy produced: 3915 kWh
Energy consumed: 3613 kWh
Net: -302 kWh
The panels produced 8.4% more energy than I consumed! I actually put a decent amount back on the grid - enough to charge a standard Tesla Model S five times and drive it 1000 miles!
Savings
Electrical energy in my town is cheap (10.4 cents per kWh), especially for California. Because I didn't use any net energy, I didn't have to pay a dime of the $375 I would have had to pay for electricity this past year. Furthermore, I have a credit for $31 for future use (for when I buy that plug in car in a few years).
The greatest thing about these panels is that they require no effort. Often, doing the right thing environmentally might require a sacrifice or an inconvenience. Once these panels are on, they just sit there and ensure that your home isn't contributing to the increase in greenhouse gases or the smog in your community. And they'll do that for 30+ years!
Now, are you inspired? Go do this to your home. You can either purchase panels, or lease them. The federal government will pay for 30% of the cost and you may be eligible for state or city rebates as well. Go look into it, get several estimates, and make it happen. The costs have come down dramatically in the past five years. Now is the time.